Reminder: don't forget our other previews of Group A, Group B, Group C and Group D.
Welcome once again to the World Cup Preview that's already being celebrated across the world for its combination of longness and interestingness. We've got to Group E and will be picking up the pace a bit. On paper this is one of the weakest groups in the tournament, with its best side (i.e. France or Switzerland depending on your view) arguably little better than the weakest side in, say, Group G (i.e. the USA). As usual that means it could be one to watch for neutrals looking for a bit of the unexpected. Seeding the Swiss may look like the kindest thing FIFA has ever done for its home country, but they earned it. This year they look set neither to fulfill their stereotypical role of dour, goal-shy grinders, nor to explode out of the group and conquer the world with their young talent; progress to the quarters is a realistic ambition. France should win the group if they don't self-destruct but the dark horses here are Ecuador, a pacy side who could cause problems on the break if they can capture the attacking potential within their team. Honduras are unlikely to progress but have sufficient resources to have some influence on the group.
Welcome once again to the World Cup Preview that's already being celebrated across the world for its combination of longness and interestingness. We've got to Group E and will be picking up the pace a bit. On paper this is one of the weakest groups in the tournament, with its best side (i.e. France or Switzerland depending on your view) arguably little better than the weakest side in, say, Group G (i.e. the USA). As usual that means it could be one to watch for neutrals looking for a bit of the unexpected. Seeding the Swiss may look like the kindest thing FIFA has ever done for its home country, but they earned it. This year they look set neither to fulfill their stereotypical role of dour, goal-shy grinders, nor to explode out of the group and conquer the world with their young talent; progress to the quarters is a realistic ambition. France should win the group if they don't self-destruct but the dark horses here are Ecuador, a pacy side who could cause problems on the break if they can capture the attacking potential within their team. Honduras are unlikely to progress but have sufficient resources to have some influence on the group.
Ecuador
Valencia: now the main man |
Ecuador are by now a familiar presence at World Cups, with
the altitude advantage they enjoy in home qualifiers often rather unfairly
cited as the reason. This side of things shouldn’t be over-estimated however; while
Ecuador did rely on home form, with victories over Colombia, Chile and Uruguay in
Quito, their performance in qualifying comfortably exceeded that of fellow
thin-air specialists Peru and Bolivia. Progress to the second round in 2006
showed they are no pushovers on the world stage. Ecuador have established
themselves in a second tier of South American sides behind Argentina, Brazil,
and the more recently emerged force of Chile.
The Ecuador team had the heart torn out of it in mid-2013
with the untimely death of their striker and leading scorer, one time
Birmingham City forward Christian Benitez. Without him the team has looked
somewhat goal-shy, and was not prolific in qualifying. The primary choice at
centre forward is Felipe Caceido, who somewhat unpromisingly plays his club
football in the relatively weak UAE league even in his prime (he’s 25). He does
score useful goals for Ecuador though. Despite a lack of real quality options,
two strikers are often played, and the speedy and wide-roving Enner Valencia
seems to have established himself as Caicedo’s partner. A more direct and
conventional alternative would be Jaime Ayovi whose goalscoring record at
international level is decent.
Fans of the no longer fashionable art of wing play should
keep an eye on Ecuador, who are likely to be among the tournament’s premier
employers of wide men. At 28, Antonio Valencia is Ecuador’s leading player and,
since the loss of Benitez, their talisman. Opponents will focus on shackling
his progress on the flanks but will then face the challenge of what to do with
Jefferson Montero, likely to start on the left. Fond of hugging the touchline,
and genuinely terrifying when flat out with the ball at his feet, Montero
started to add some end product to his game in qualifying and popped up with
useful goals.
With all of this fizz up front and on the flanks, Ecuador’s
central midfield can sometimes risk being overrun. Colombian coach Reinaldo
Rueda seems to prefer the experienced combination of Christian Noboa, of Dynamo
Moscow, and 32-year-old Segundo Castillo, once briefly of Everton but now
playing in Saudi Arabia. With 120 caps between them, these two represent a disciplined
unit with useful international experience, albeit little of it at truly top
level. Midfield options are in theory an Ecuadorian strength, but in reality
there are more of them than Rueda seems to know what to do with. One obvious
switch would be to bring 108-cap veteran Edison Mendez into a 4-5-1 formation.
Still feisty at 35, Mendez packs a Lampard-like howitzer shot and might arguably
give the team a more natural shape than Rueda’s first choice 4-4-2. A bit more
shuffling would be required in order to accommodate deep-lying playmaker Luis
Saritama. Then there are, remarkably, more wingers: Renato Ibarra has European
experience with Vitesse (and is reportedly coveted by Swansea) while Fidel
Martinez plays for Mexico’s Tijuana and sports Neymar-like hair. Joao Rojas is
another quick-stepping dribbler who can play anywhere across the front line.
There are two other options in midfield: Michael Arroyo, a loping advanced
midfielder who can play through the centre, and eighteen year old Carlos
Gruezo, a defensive midfielder. Wih the youthful Gruezo his only cover it looks
likely that Castillo will start every game; indeed, for all these options,
Rueda’s preferences are fairly settled.
A clear first choice lineup also exists in defence. It’s in
the centre where Ecuador’s simplest and perhaps most important weakness – a lack
of proven top quality players with high-end club experience – is most apparent.
Frickson Erazo may be likely to be a sticker-collector’s favourite due to his
quirky name, but he has had little game time since moving to Flamengo at the
start of the Brazilian season; his likely partner Jorge Guagua, while hugely
experienced, lacks real international quality and is losing his pace. There is
at least experienced cover in Gabriel Achilier, though with him the only recognized
reserve centre-back, Rueda’s midfield-heavy squad selection does look quixotic.
This being Ecuador, the wide defenders are of an attacking nature. Juan Carlos
Paredes on the right offers yet more rapidity while the veteran Walter Ayovi
(cousin of Jaime) also likes to get forward, though perhaps at a more sedate
pace. Long-time backup fullbackup Oscar Bagui also makes the squad. Goalkeeper
Alexander Dominguez is no Lloris, Cech or Courtois but his position is secure.
Ecuador appear a curious prospect. Apparently packed to the
gills with pace and flair in attack, they nonetheless struggle to score many
goals. Their midfield is replete with attacking options, to the obvious expense
of defensive cover, yet Rueda’s record of actually using these in his starting
lineups is limited. His team plays a formation, 4-4-2, which exacerbates one of
its key weaknesses in the lack of a proven second striker. Given their squad,
Ecuador seem destined (or doomed) to be a fairly open side with limited cover
in midfield, so they will be hoping that their attacking resources are able to
expose some of the fairly clumsy defences that may confront them in this group.
To Ecuador’s advantage is the fact that none of their first round opponents
look to have a lot of goals in them; this may allow them, despite their dubious
defence, the chance to sit back a bit and look to counter. With Valencia and
other pacy runners at their disposal, the Ecuadorians have the potential to be
a bit of a crack counter-attacking unit; if only they had a little stronger a
spine.
Strengths: Pace.
With startling numbers of speedy athletes in their prime, all used to running
their lungs out at high altitude, Ecuador could be quite a prospect when
attacking down the flanks. There’s also plenty of experience in the squad, but
not too many thirtysomethings. Of likely starters only Enner Valencia and keeper
Dominguez have fewer than 20 caps.
Weaknesses:
Centre of defence slow and cumbersome and poorly covered by an open midfield.
Odd squad selection and no clarity as to preferred alternative selections in
midfield, despite loads of options. Limited goal threat despite all the pace,
and uninspiring strikers.
Young player to
watch: Young Gruezo’s place in the squad is important given the lack of
other cover, so it will be interesting to see if he gets game time. He has a
good club platform on which to work at Stuttgart.
Prediction: Second
round. Given their strengths and weaknesses, have been dealt a fairly kind
group. None of their opponents is a devastating goal threat – not even France –
and there are some slow defenders. Could be a problem for France on the counter
and could have too much mobility for the Swiss to handle.
France
Ribery: one more time? |
France have been at something of a low in terms of expectations, after eight years of underperformance and, at times, embarrassment,
epitomized by the defeatism and acrimony South Africa in 2010. However, in
recent months, a renewed awareness of the depth of resources within the French
squad has led to the French quietly acquiring “dark horse” status in the eyes
of many pundits. In our opinion the expectations had best stay muted, as this
remains a somewhat transitional, or emergent, French side whose prospects
probably only stand to be weakened by unnecessary hype. France could do good
things at this tournament, but there are a number of things they’ll have to
prove in doing so.
On the face of things the French team benefits from that
traditional boon in the eyes of the pundit, a strong “spine”. It’s worth noting
however that two of the players around whom the team will be built are, while
already established for their clubs, still very young and lacking international
experience. Raphael Varane, now a regular and a European Cup winner at Madrid (and
apparently coveted by Chelsea), seems mature beyond his years on the field. However
he still has aspects of a young man’s temperament, as shown by his triumphant
kicking of the ball at Atletico coach Simeone during the Champions’ League
final. Reflecting the somewhat transitional nature of this France team,
although very likely to be first choice in the World Cup he wasn’t a regular
starter in qualifying. The same can’t be said of Paul Pogba, who has made the
national shirt his own after only 9 caps. Blessed with both power and skill,
Pogba is an astonishingly complete midfielder for a 21 year old and can play
anywhere in the midfield. He has two years of first choice domestic and Champions’
League football behind him at Juventus, even if the ease with which he strolled
into their first team aged 19 says a little about the decline of Serie A. There’s
little doubt as to the basic quality of either Varane or Pogba, but there are
at least some remaining questions as to how they’ll fit into the team unit,
especially when the pressure is on.
Of France’s more established stars the most impressive are
Karim Benzema, Franck Ribery and Hugo Lloris. Benzema in principle is probably
the team’s biggest asset, and on his day one of the world’s ery best
centre-forwards. He combines many of the qualities of both the classic no.9 and
the Henry-style runner from deep, and has had a great season with Real Madrid.
On the other hand, at international level he isn’t a really heavy goalscorer –
with 19 goals in 65 appearances for les
bleus – and he did not make a great impact in qualifying. Ribery on his day
is a genuine star, but seems to be carrying a back injury into this, his final
World Cup (so he says). One wonders whether he will ever take an international tournament
by the scruff of the neck – he played well in 2006 when still young, but faded
in the final. Time is running out. The urbane and bouffant-haired Lloris,
despite a recent lack of Champions’ League experience, is one of the world’s
best goalkeepers even if the sweeper-keeper role he has adopted does sometimes
lead to alarming dashes from goal. A good propect for the golden glove, he is
also a decent contender for a rush-of-blood-to-head sending-off.
The supporting case that France can put around these key men
is mostly solid rather than spectacular, with a couple of emerging talents. In
defence, there are solid options at fullback but not much depth in the centre.
Matthieu Debuchy, a rare bright spot in Newcastle’s season, will probably start
at right back with Bacary Sagna an experienced alternative. Patrice Evra, like his contemporary Ashley
Cole, may no longer be a contender for world’s very best left-back, but he is
still an impressive player even if his club form has been unpredictable in
recent seasons. The emergence of Lucas Digne, included in the final squad with
one cap to his name, suggests Evra’s long term replacement. In the middle,
Varane’s partner Laurent Koscielny is one of the most assured starters in the
team, but his determination is not matched by faultless reliability. Backup
centre-backs are the promising but inexperienced Eliaquim Mangala, of FC Porto,
and Liverpool’s powerful but sometimes clumsy Mamadou Sakho. Selected as
captain in pre-World Cup friendlies, Sakho has a chance of starting. With
Varane green and Evra still fading, this isn’t a back line with the ring of
world class quality to it.
Elsewhere, Didier Deschamps has generally preferred not to
play two strikers, which is a shame in many ways because France could in theory
put together one of the best strike partnerships in world football. Despite
Benzema’s status, Olivier Giroud is potentially a real threat to his place in
the team. Giroud remains enormously underrated; often portrayed as a mere
workhorse target man, he is in fact a forward of subtle gift, with good
positional sense and excellent touch. France look rather underinvested at
centre-forward with the only other option at 9 being Loic Remy, who has Benzema’s
turn of pace but plays more as a poacher. In midfield, a fairly conservative
selection alongside Pogba in the centre looks likely, and PSG’s Blaise Matuidi
looks likely to play the ballwinning role. A similar option would be Lille’s
Zlatan-baiting centreman Rio Mavuba, whose father played in the famous but
somewhat ill-starred Zaire side at the 1974 World Cup. Or there is the one man
chaos engine that is Moussa Sissoko, a player of tremendous energy and real
goal threat who has often seemed to lack focus or subtlety at Newcastle. In
front of the deep lying two will range Ribery (if he’s fit) and a couple of
other subtler midfielders. On the right, diminutive winger Mathieu Valbuena got
a lot of game time in qualifying and is probably the favourite to start although
an intriguing option is Antoine Griezmann. A direct winger/utility forward who
can play anywhere across the forward part of midfield, he is a potential long
term replacement for Ribery although his strengths are acceleration and
aggression rather than tricks. For now,
his role is probably mainly to learn; some fancy him to start games but
appearances as substitute for Ribery or Valbuena
are likelier. Yohan Cabaye is now a fixture in the modern no.10 role, although
his ability to influence games at the top level is perhaps questionable, and he
tends to blow hot and cold. Clement Grenier is another option in Cabaye’s
position, as would be Sissoko in a more attacking role, but France do not have
a wealth of options for changes of shape in the centre.
It’s easy enough to pass time spotting flaws in France’s
game plan. There is a slight lack of ultimate quality in parts of the midfield
and defence, individually a lot of the better players are very young, or
ageing, or of questionable fitness, and there’s a lack of a Plan B in terms of
either selection or tactics (Deschamps is a consistent devotee of
4-5-1/4-2-3-1). More pertinently perhaps, despite the quality of some of the
forwards, there’s a bit of a lack of goals in the side. Benzema has not been on
strong goalscoring form for France recently, while Giroud and Remy each have
less than a goal every four international games. Of the midfield, only Ribery
really gets goals; Cabaye’s contribution in this regard is disappointing. With
Samir Nasri not selected, it’s also a team with relatively little capacity for
the genuinely unexpected if Ribery is unfit or doesn’t perform.
On the other
hand, France do have real strengths, which require a more careful examination
to appreciate. Pogba and Varane do not need to be older to perform to world
class standard, if they gel with the team. Ribery, Benzema, Lloris and - to a
lesser extent, now – Evra are operators of the very top class. The side’s work
rate and commitment can’t be faulted, with Pogba and Matuidi an ultra-committed
midfield, Koscielny a defender of utmost determination and even Ribery a real
grafter by “flair player” standards. Moreover, although France don’t have that
sense of a single generation maturing together, as winning sides sometimes do,
it could be argued that their combination of youth and experience is actually a
strength. Admittedly, even some of the more established players – like Koscielny,
Matuidi, and Valbuena – have only become established since Euro 2012, but the
squad did handle qualification fairly well. Beating Spain in the group was
always a big ask and in the event, all that separated the two sides was the 1-0
Spanish win in Paris. The playoff was hairy but when the pressure was on,
France delivered, with a 3-0 win over Ukraine to overturn a two goal deficit. It
is possible to win a world cup with a patchy team, and France themselves did it
in 1998. Les bleus – who have had a
fairly stable and happy preparation for this World Cup, the Ribery injury scare
apart – will be hoping to retain the element of surprise.
Strengths: Excellent
emerging players in Pogba and Varane; world class personnel in goal, up front
and on the left; relative stability; though variable, quality is at least solid
in all areas of the pitch.
Weaknesses: Lack
of alternative selection and tactical options; uneven quality; doubts about
Ribery’s fitness; potential lack of goal threat; some of best players very
inexperienced.
Young player to
watch: In a World Cup not replete with rising youth, France are a breath of
fresh air. Watch out for Varane.
Verdict: Whatever
their intrinsic qualities, France have not been served a difficult group. Slip-ups
are possible but at least five points looks likely from their first phase
matches. If they finish first, then a winnable second round match will follow.
Germany in the quarters will probably be too good for them, but with the luck
of the draw and the wind in their sails France could get to the semis.
Honduras
Figueroa: first name on team sheet |
One of the lesser-known sides at the World
Cup, Honduras nonetheless take a squad packed with international experience to Brazil.
At its heart, still, is a historically talented generation of Honduran
footballers, but it’s now an ageing one. In 2010 the team were reasonably competitive
and managed to snaffle one point off Switzerland, against whom they find
themselves matched this time, too. Firmly the underdogs in Group E, Honduras
are probably rightly regarded as no more than potential spoilers, but their
opponents would do well to take them seriously in that role.
The team was not shy of goals in CONCACAF qualifying, but the
step up has proven very difficult before (Honduras didn’t score a single goal in
South Africa) and neither of the two strikers usually deployed, Carlos Costly and
Jerry Bengtson, has World Cup experience. They do both possess a good goalscoring
record for the national side however (Bengtson with 18 goals in 40 caps, Costly
with 30 in 68) even though both have struggled to score goals regularly during
spells abroad. Bengtson gets plenty of games at New England Revolution but has
only hit the net four times. Alternative striking option Jerry Palacios has
been found rather wanting at international level, although he does have the
privilege of once having played for excellently-named Chinese club Hunan
Billows. Fast up the track comes Rony Martinez, who has scored 34 goals in only
58 games for Real Sociedad. That’s the Honduran Real Sociedad, not the La Liga
version, but Martinez has fought his way into contention nonetheless. Still,
there’s no obvious reason why coach Luis Suarez (no apparent relation to the
Uruguayan firestarter) would deviate from his established lineup of Costly and
Bengtson in a 4-4-2; they won’t scare the defences in Group E but will be more
than capable of opportunism.
Midfield selection is usually fairly defensive, although
Wilson Palacios plays more of an all-round role for Honduras than he has
typically adopted in England, where he has been perhaps the most successful of
the Honduran imports. While expected to tackle, he also makes the play. With
box-to-box man Roger Espinoza and holding player Luis Garrido usually employed
alongside, the main outlet for Palacios is often Oscar Boniek Garcia, whose
middle name reveals his father’s enthusiasm for eighties European football.
There are options for a change of shape however, and one name to look out for
is Andy Najar, a US-born winger currently with Anderlecht in Belgium. With
frightening acceleration and a good final ball, Najar can add more width and
creativity from deep, and if Suarez decides that two out and out strikers is a
bit unsubtle for the World Cup then Najar may well get to start in a 4-5-1. Mario
Martinez provides an attacking option in central midfield and may be an impact
substitute, while goalscoring winger Marvin Chavez would allow the pace outlet
to be switched to the left.
Honduras shipped quite a lot of goals in qualifying, comfortably
more at 12 in 10 games than anyone else who got through CONCACAF Round 4. This
is worrying given the defensiveness of their typical lineup and the fact that
the back line is ostensibly where Honduras have the most internationally proven
talent. The likely starting fullbacks play their club football, slightly
bizarrely, on opposite sides of Scotland’s Old Firm divide. Rangers’ Arnold
Peralta takes the right hand side and Celtic’s Emilio Izaguirre the left. The
latter has established impressed for his club and is evolving into one of
Honduras’ real stars. The central defensive partnership of Premiership regular
Maynor Figueroa and San Jose Earthquakes’ Victor Bernadez boasts 176 caps
between the two players, although both as past or passing their primes. As
throughout the side, even the backup is pretty experienced, with 21-cap Brayan
Beckeles pushing for Peralta’s spot but Juan Carlos Garcia unlikely to dislodge
Izauirre. Backup at centre-back is from 52-cap Osman Chavez, who earns his
living in the Polish league, and Juan Pablo Montes. Behind the defence there’s
still no real threat to the evergreen Noel Valladares, who at 37 has 119 caps
while his two reserves have six between them.
With a defence that leaked in qualifying, a stuffy midfield
and an attack that’s short on international-class menace, Honduras look like
they could be in trouble. Defences often improve under the pressure of
tournament play however, particularly since attacking teams are wary of
overcommitting. With the quality they have, expect Honduras to become more
miserly when things get serious. In 2010 they were not especially easy to score
against, and many of the same defenders are back. The problems then are more
likely to be at the other end, then, and the key to mounting a goal threat may
be to find a new shape in midfield. Their traditional 4-4-2 looks likely to see
Honduras struggling to link the ball to isolated strikers who will relatively
easily be picked off by world cup defenders.
Strengths: Bags
of experience, even in reserve; still real quality in Wilson Palacios and some
of the defenders; plenty of options in midfield, in principle.
Weaknesses:
Predictable, especially in 4-4-2; general lack of top class quality save for a
few big names; usually play a defensively minded midfield and lack top class
forwards; defence has been suspect of late; some key players ageing.
Young player to
watch: Andy Najar is a former MLS Rookie of the Year and has pace and
panache to give away. He could perhaps become more productive, but still has
time. Ripe to be the next Honduran to step into the Premiership, but whether
the World Cup is the right stage to impress will depend on whether his team
give him an outlet.
Verdict: Early
bath. May be obdurate but unlikely to spring major surprises.
Switzerland
Hips don't lie: Shaqiri |
The Swiss have got steadily stronger since becoming
the first side ever to be eliminated from a World Cup without conceding a goal
in 2006. On paper the current team is the country’s best in decades, combining
as it does a number of players who won the Under-17 World Cup in 2009. In an
era when football is becoming ever more of a diasporic game – as a look at many
of this year’s squads will show – the Swiss are a particularly polyglot unit, drawing
heavily on players of Balkan descent. The Swiss coaching system seems to have
little difficulty in producing balanced and technically adept footballers with
real flair, but they perhaps lack a little ruthlessness. The current golden
generation was disappointed to miss out on Euro 2012 and will be looking to go
one better than that goalless second round departure in Germany eight years ago.
Given the attention being lavished on their young talent it’s
perhaps a surprise to find that the Swiss squad has more than a few tournament
veterans in it. Starting from the back, the net will be minded by Diego
Benaglio, a tall and reassuring figure who has won the Bundesliga with
Wolfsburg. In front of him there is certainly plenty of tournament experience
to draw on. Both Johan Djourou, now established as a regular at Hamburg after
several stuttering years with Arsenal, and his former Gunners colleague
Philippe Senderos have World Cup and European Championship experience although
both seem to have lost their positions as first choice starters for
Switzerland. That’s partly due to the emergence of Basle’s young Fabian Schar
and partially due to coach Ottmar Hitzfeld’s recently developed preference for
long time squad member Steve von Bergen. Despite the experience, and Schar’s
promise, this may not be the most confident defensive unit when facing mobile
attackers like France’s or Ecuador’s. The fullbacks are an area of greater
strength with the relentless Stephan Lichtsteiner, Juventus’ “Swiss Express”,
on the right and 21 year old Ricardo Rodriguez probably keeping out Reto
Ziegler on the left. If these two don’t get too pinned back helping their less
pacy defensive colleagues, then they will be able to bolster the Swiss
attacking threat.
In fact though what Switzerland could do with more of in the
attacking third is not more creativity, nor more personnel, but direct goal
threat. Centre forward is a weakness for the team, and one of the strikers of
the unsung 1990s Swiss teams, like Stephane Chapuisat or Kubilay Turkyilmaz,
would be welcome in the current era. The team didn’t struggle too badly for
goals in the qualifying rounds, but the opposition was fairly weak. With centre-half
Schar the highest scorer, the goals were spread around the team; that’s a good
sign in many ways, but in tighter situations Switzerland may find themselves
needing more incision up front. To be
fair, in Josip Drmic, they may have found their man; mobile, opportunistic and
two-footed, he has been scoring freely in the Bundesliga aged only 21 and has
earned a move to Leverkusen. But he is very inexperienced at international
level. The other options at no.9, Admir
Mehmedi and Mario Gavranovic, are unconvincing and both failed to prosper in
their club careers when they left Switzerland for bigger leagues. 22 year old
Haris Seferovic is another option but has played relatively little top flight
club football to date and hasn’t set the penalty box ablaze thus far
internationally. Given the relative weakness of this area of the roster, and
the preference for 4-2-3-1, it is rather surprising that Hitzfeld has chosen to
take as many as four strikers to Brazil.
That all is not lost for Switzerland in the final third is
due to the real quality of their attacking midfielders. Like any truly modern
team, the Swiss arrive in Brazil with seemingly fifty or so no.10’s at their
disposal. Xherdan Shaqiri is prince of them all. Maturing nicely at Bayern, he
is blessed with masterful technique and vision, and remarkable power
considering his short stature. Shaqiri is one of these modern super-utility
forwards, particularly prevalent in the Germanic game, who can really play
anywhere; but he’ll probably play as the right-hand one of the three advanced
midfielders with fellow Swiss-Kosovar, Granit Xhaka, just inside. Xhaka is less
of a goal threat than Shaqiri and may drop deeper; he is a combative playmaker
who excels in tight situations. His distribution will probably feed Valentin
Stocker on the left. Stocker is a modern winger who can stay wide or drift in,
and has a useful goalscoring record for his club. These three form a balanced
and skilful attacking unit which can change its shape readily and play a
pressing, possession game high up the field if need be.
With all this silk, you’ll be wondering where the steel is,
and yes, the Swiss do back up this fresh-faced, fashionably-quiffed boy-band of
an attack with a bit of old school muscle in the deeper midfield (albeit still
fashionably coiffed in the case of Valon Behrami). Behrami has had a long and
pretty successful club career in the top European leagues, and like his likely partner
in the engine room, Gokhan Inler, he played at Euro 2008 and World Cup 2010.
Although Inler is a tough tackler, he does have an attacking side; he scores
the odd goal and gets plenty of assists. There’s little real chance of this
twosome being broken up unless injuries strike, and squad members Gelson
Fernandes and Blerim Dzemaili are straightforward cover options. Indeed one
Swiss weakness is the predictability of their selection; it looks pretty clear
who Hitzfeld’s first choices are and there’s not much to keep opposing coaches
guessing. The experienced Tranquillo Barnetta does offer a pacy and positive
option in midfield but dramatic changes of shape seem unlikely, raising the
usual questions about Plan B. Switzerland will hope the inherent verve of
Shaqiri and his ilk will provide sufficient capacity for the unexpected.
Much has been made of whether Switzerland will be able to
cope with the climatic conditions in Brazil, particularly in Manaus where they
face Honduras. The side is much more mobile and athletic than previous Swiss
sides, however, and most of the players are still well shy of 30 so exhaustion
should not be an issue. Outright pace is what is most likely to trouble the
Swiss defence. A skilled and technical midfield, on the other hand, gives the
Swiss a fair chance of hanging on to the ball and dictating the pace. The most
obvious problem will be scoring goals; if they do get ahead then, with many of
their more experienced players in reserve, Switzerland may opt to bring on
older heads to see things out. Neither a gung-ho all-out attacking side nor a
steel trap defensive unit, Switzerland will need to get their tactics right;
ultimately, despite their talent, they look worryingly short in the key central
areas of attack and defence.
Strengths: Well
balanced and skilful midfield; good blend of youth and experience; relatively
settled selection and squad cohesion; quality attacking fullbacks; wily and
decorated coach.
Weaknesses: Susceptibility
in central defence; slight predictability (the flipside of consistent
selection); lack of goal threat.
Young player to
watch: Drmic has real talent and with weak competition could get the chance
to impress at no.9.
Verdict: There is
the possibility of springing a surprise on slow starters France, but if les Bleus turn up then Switzerland are
most likely to find themselves locked in a battle for second with Ecuador. The
match between the two could be a real royal rumble, with a fascinating clash of
styles. We’d back Ecuador to edge it if they get their tactics right, but the
Swiss have a real chance.
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